Lps 10 thn kahwin, aku br perasan suami ada group secret adik beradiknya yg x da aku. Rupanya ipar2 umpat aku mls basuh pinggan.
mls 2021 在 Facebook 的最讚貼文
mls 2021 在 Facebook 的最佳解答
［試下唔好射地波，射佢上三路］咁易咩閘師傅～～～～
1. 唔係講笑，Patreon嘅每日一圖，早排真係貼過呢張（實情我早幾年都貼過一次），幾咁益智。Patreon就唔係講波嘅，但十二碼向來都係經濟L數L鍾意研究嘅課題。
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月頭訂最抵！2021比別人知得多。subscribe now（https://bityl.co/4Y0h）。Ivan Patreon，港美市場評點，專題號外，每日一圖，好文推介。每星期6篇，月費100，已經1700人訂！ 畀年費仲有85折
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2. Quite simply，識射梗係射高波。正如意大利對西班牙時講波佬話頭，除非你講明射嗰個位，否則龍門近乎冇得救。你見射咗400幾球十二碼，得4球高波畀人救到。
3. 「會射出街嘛天才，冇撚踢過波咪撚獻世啦」。係喎，我唔知呀可。你自己慢慢數，after adjusted for 射出街，都仲係射高波嘅命中率高一截。呢個研究亦都係well known（雖然好多人睇唔起啲數據撚，但你估人地白出糧的？），應該所有球員都知。近一兩屆我見好似多咗球員射高波，但似乎仲唔係太多。
4. 你可以合理地質疑，本身夠膽射高波嗰班就係藝高人膽大，本身就係勁啲嘅球員，根本射地波都入。而本身射地波嘅就係屎波淆底，你叫佢去射高波一樣會炒飛機。你可以質疑球員能力同射邊度唔係independent 的。
5. 當然我肯定係紙上談兵，我呢啲手無叫雞之力嘅肥佬書生。「話射高就射高咩，你咁叻你去射一次丫」，但，我地討論緊全地球最優秀嘅運動員下話？要求高啲唔過份者。
6. 我懷疑都係同啲心理有關，射飛機炒上觀眾席，陰影大過畀人救到好多。前者嘅，你唔多唔少都係罪人。後者嘅，比較多人記得龍門神救。（雖然，1996年大家都係記得修夫基多，從來冇乜人話哥普基係英雄，可能係英國傳媒獨有生態。又，今屆修夫基就踢咗高普基出局了，唔知有冇傾計）
7. 亦都好多人知道，射中間命中率高，但好少球員夠膽咁做。你係派路咪大師，你係陳七咪低能仔，射中間畀龍接到，呢個球員第二日就會畀你啲網友狂鬧，「我落去踢都得」，分分鐘影響埋轉會身價。同樣地，亦都好少龍門夠膽企中間，因為企定定唔做，又係畀啲網友狂笑，「我落去守都得，放塊紙板好過」。所以守龍員係傾向do something，好合理。
8. 呢度亦有唔少人寫過，同投資類似。好多人都係有呢種do something嘅bias，升咗又覺得要take profit，跌咗又要止蝕。因為冇做任何嘢而出事，好似大鑊過有做過。但投資就肯定唔係咁，多做先多錯。以前蝕佣蝕bid ask都輸你唔少，而家佣低，反而啲人更加鍾意不停上上落落。一個好簡單嘅例子：啲人買樓可以坐得長食到十倍廿倍升浪，因為樓嘅交易費用太高，又唔方便。
9. 然後呢個劊子手同守門員嘅博奕，你又9格佢又9格（有啲model整到15格），就係典型嘅game theory了，呀西班牙佬（其實係巴斯克，Ignacio Palacios-Huerta）寫咗唔少論文，LSE喎大佬，好認真嘅學問。佢就真係十二碼研究大師，佢認第二冇人認第一。See？真係搵到你嘅niche就得。
10. 呀仲有，早幾日自己Facebook 都提過，同十三張差不多，你揀5條友射，亦都有研究過，第一同第五個壓力最大，亦最易失，所以應該放最強嘅人射第一同第五。你見對西班牙，意大利都係放盧卡迪尼第一，佐真奴第五，兩個似乎都係相當有把握嘅（雖然，盧卡迪尼都射失）。正如意大利對英格蘭都係佐真奴守尾門（雖然，係失嘅）。咁所以，有啲朋友鬧點解搵英格蘭Saka射第五，應該係合理嘅質疑。
11. 以上種種只係皮毛，射十二碼絶對有學問，不過真係同你平時踼波要求嘅係唔同嘅嘢。Economist 上期都有提到，實在係有點無聊，但個戲劇性又真係太強，所以都仲係保留。固然可以玩咩中場帶波射龍（以前MLS好似玩過），或者加時每5分鐘換走一個人（最後變成2打2甚至1打1都幾好笑）。但，似乎都係十二碼過癮。公唔公平就另一回事。
12. 歡迎批評，不過都係循例講返，LSE教授呀下，Economist嘅文。雖然，佢篇話「先射有優勢」嘅文，近期似乎畀人質疑得幾緊要。Technically 似乎因為佢好多數據都係用西班牙盃，扭曲咗。而你睇返世界盃 歐國盃，又真係先射唔見好有優勢。有機會再寫。
13. BTW，其實我係寫緊Patreon週末文的。你看見「唔使返工真好」，我看見「Patreon就係返工」。真的，我寫Patreon用嘅時間，多過我返工真係做嘢嘅時間 — 咁所以，最無敵嘅組合，梗係返工寫Patreon！有一排咪咁，可惜世間好物不堅牢，彩雲易散琉璃脆。
14. 於是我就被迫成為咗全職炒散，Accidental Content Creator（下本書就用呢個名，如果仲有下本的話）。
15. 雖然，我都係好懷念返工有人出錢畀你屙屎嘅日子，呢啲快樂真係未返過Office工唔知。應該好似Freakonomics咁，統計下啲人在公司同在屋企爆石用嘅時間爭幾遠。
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月頭訂最抵！2021比別人知得多。subscribe now（https://bityl.co/4Y0h）。Ivan Patreon，港美市場評點，專題號外，每日一圖，好文推介。每星期6篇，月費100，已經1700人訂！ 畀年費仲有85折
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mls 2021 在 Facebook 的精選貼文
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1. https://cuoi.tuoitre.vn/giai-tri/viet-huong-tro-lai-man-anh-voi-vai-ba-hoi-dong-ac-khong-ai- bang-2021051426060415.html
2. https://m.vietnamnet.vn/vn/giai-tri/truyen-hinh/viet-huong-tai-xuat-phim-truyen-hinh-vai-ba-hoi-dong-nhan-tam-737053.html
3. https://www.sggp.org.vn/viet-huong-tai-xuat-khan-gia-voi-vai-phan-dien-732022.html
4. https://laodong.vn/van-hoa/viet-huong-thu-doan-muu-mo-khi-tro-lai-hinh-anh-ba-hoi-dong-duoc-lam-moi-909300.ldo
5. https://thethaovanhoa.vn/giai-tri/viet-huong-dien-mat-ac-sac-lem-trong-phim-duong-the-bao-la-sau-n20210515090635478.htm
6. http://express24h.net.vn/viet-huong-tro-lai-phim-truyen-hinh-duong-the-bao-la-sau-29120
7. https://tintuc1.com/news/2021-05-15/thethaovanhoa-viet-huong-dien-mat-ac-sac-lem-trong-phim-duong-the-bao-la-sau-n20210515090635478
8. https://travelmag.vn/viet-huong-hoa-ba-hoi-dong-anh-mat-sac-lem-trong-lan-hiem-hoi-tro-lai-man-anh-nho-d49752.html
9. https://cosmolife.vn/duong-the-bao-la-sau-chuyen-cua-ba-hoi-dong-ac-chang-thua-ai-nhung-cung-dang-thuong-boi-phan-16731.html
10. https://idolvnnet.com/vi-ghen-huy-khanh-viet-huong-khong-tu-bat-cu-thu-doan-doc-ac-nao/
11. http://vdtonline.vn/van-hoa/29073-viet-huong-the-hien-anh-mat-ba-hoi-dong-sac-lem-tren-man-anh-nho.html
12. http://vanhoadautu.vn/van-hoa/3161-viet-huong-tro-lai-phim-anh-voi-duong-the-bao-la-sau-.html
13. http://saozone.net/the-gioi-sao/viet-huong-tro-lai-phim-truyen-hinh-voi-duong-the-bao-la-sau/
14. http://dienanhkichtruong.com/n9828/viet-huong-dong-vai-phan-dien-trong-phim-moi-cua-hoang-map.html
15. https://www.saokul.com/2021/05/viet-huong-tro-lai-voi-duong-bao-la-sau.html
16. https://www.alotintuc.com/viet-huong-tro-lai-voi-duong-the-bao-la-sau/
17. https://sandien24h.vn/tin-tuc/viet-huong-tro-lai-voi-duong-the-bao-la-sau-cua-dao-dien-hoang-map-cu-hue-post991420809.html
18. http://tapchisaoviet.com/phim-truyen-hinh/viet-huong-tro-lai-voi-duong-the-bao-la-sau
19. http://saigondaily.net/nghe-si-viet-huong-tai-xuat-man-anh-nho-voi-phim-duong-the-bao-la-sau.html
20. http://emagazine24.net/viet-huong-tro-lai-voi-man-anh-nho-qua-bo-phim-duong-the-bao-la-sau/
21. http://2saigon.vn/giai-tri/ngoi-sao-saigon/viet-huong-tai-xuat-phim-truyen-hinh-voi-vai-ba-hoi-dong-trong-duong-the-bao-la-sau.html
22. http://www.nguoitieudungonline.com/2021/05/viet-huong-hoa-ba-hoi-ong-anh-mat-sac.html
23. http://www.tiepthigiadinhonlines.com/2021/05/viet-huong-hoa-ba-hoi-ong-anh-mat-sac.html
24. http://vnlifestyle.com/viet-huong-tai-xuat-voi-vai-dien-cuc-ky-doc-dao-noi-tam-phuc-tap/
25. https://sao.baophapluat.vn/tin-tuc/chi-tiet/viet-huong-tro-lai-voi-duong-the-bao-la-sau-20784/
26. http://www.saovacuocsong.net/2021/05/viet-huong-tro-lai-man-anh-voi-vai-ba-hoi-dong-ac-khong-ai-bang.html
27. https://saigon-stories.com/index.php/2021/05/15/viet-huong-the-hien-anh-mat-ba-hoi-dong-sac-lem-tren-man-anh-nho/
28. https://vietdaily.vn/giai-tri/viet-huong-tai-xuat-voi-vai-dien-doc-dao-noi-tam-phuc-tap-trong-duong-the-bao-la-sau.html
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51. https://vietbao.vn/giai-tri-4/viet-huong-choi-lon-tang-ao-ba-ba-lua-ha-dong-cho-khan-gia-xem-phim-63310.html
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67. https://showbiz24h.us/video/gameshow-phim-truyen-hinh/viet-huong-tro-lai-phim-truyen-hinh-voi-vai-ac-trong-%E2%80%9Cduong-the-bao-la-sau%E2%80%9D-24088
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69. http://2isao.com/viet-huong-vao-vai-ba-hoi-dong-trong-duong-the-bao-la-sau
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71. http://newsexpress.vn/viet-huong-tro-lai-phim-truyen-hinh-duong-the-bao-la-sau-29120
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74. https://youtu.be/ug0v_VWgtkA
75. https://youtu.be/ADmp23eNf90
76. https://youtu.be/j0GpFA3Aen8
77. https://youtu.be/I9S1XjdWnbs
78. https://youtu.be/N_vc---jen8
79. https://youtu.be/THkoeQPaW2s
80. http://doisongvanhoa.com/tin-tuc/dao-dien-hoang-map-cu-hue-chuan-bi-len-song-phim-duong-the-bao-la-sau-tren-sctv14-10299.html
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82. http://emagazine24.net/chuan-bi-len-song-bo-phim-truyen-hinh-noi-dung-day-drama-duong-the-bao-la-sau/
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